Thursday, September 1, 2016

NWS Weather Briefing #3 SEPT 1 2016 5PM

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This is a message from ReadyChesco.


Emergency Management Partners and Stakeholders:

Attached is the latest weather briefing from the US National Weather Service in Mount Holly, NJ regarding Hurricane Hermine that has the potential to impact Chester County this weekend.

Key Updates
• Hermine has strengthened into a hurricane, but is expected to weaken back to a Tropical Storm after making landfall tonight in Florida.
• There has been little change in the forecast track from this morning's briefing, but there remains quite a bit of uncertainty with the track beyond tomorrow.
• A risk of heavy rain for much of the region remains, however there is expected to be a sharp cutoff in the heavy rain dependent on the track of Hermine.
• Please continue to closely monitor this system as it moves north this weekend.

Chester County Forecasted Impacts:
• Heavy rain: Moderate Confidence.
o There is expected to be a sharp cutoff in the heavy rain dependent on the track of Hermine (a track further off the coast lessens the threat for heavy rain). At this point, the highest risk of heavy rain is along the coast.
o The primary flooding hazard will be street and flash flooding. The recent dry weather will lessen but not eliminate the risk of river and stream flooding.
• Strong Winds: Moderate Confidence.
o There is a chance for tropical storm force winds (39 MPH to 73 MPH) for much of the region although the highest chance is along the Delaware Beaches and the Southern New Jersey Shore.
• Timing
o Winds are expected to increase around mid-day Saturday, and then continue through the holiday weekend. Rain is expected to begin on Saturday, then continue heavy at times through Sunday.

Active Watches & Warnings:
• Chester County is not currently under any active Watches or Warnings


The next briefing package is expected to be issued no later than 9AM Friday September 2, 2016. We will distribute the package as soon as we have had an opportunity to analyze the impacts for Chester County and DES actions.


 
 
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